Most graduate students propose to do too much
No thesis proposal has ever been critizied for lack of ambition
Every time I post anything about PhD education, somebody stops by and claims all that professors care about is squeezing as much work as humanly possible out of PhD students. And also, of course, that professors want to keep their students around for as long as possible, definitely much longer than the customary five years, again to maximize cheap labor. While such professors do exist, I don’t think they are representative. And many graduate programs keep a watchful eye on time to graduation and make a concerted effort to get students out on time.
To provide an alternative perspective, here I’m re-publishing a lightly edited version of a blog post from 2013, about how most graduate students propose to do too much and need to be reined in in their ambition. The post is primarily about the PhD thesis proposal, where students need to present a plan for their PhD work to a panel of professors. However, much of its content applies more broadly. Even after having successfully defended a thesis proposal many graduate students want to do too much.

I cannot remember ever having seen a graduate student present a PhD thesis proposal and be criticized for lack of ambition. It never happens. Even the weakest students—especially the weakest students—present proposals that are overly ambitious and that won’t ever get done, and certainly not in the 3–4 years remaining until graduation. In fact, in my experience it is exceedingly rare that a student presents a reasonable proposal, one that is actually doable during the remainder of their time in graduate school. Usually, those only happen when students “forget” to have their qualifying exams and end up presenting their “proposal” six months before the intended graduation date. In those cases, the students know that they won’t accomplish much new between proposal day and defense day, and therefore they present a proposal that consists entirely of completed work.
In biology PhD programs in the US, most professors expect graduate students to complete about three projects, corresponding to the magical three specific aims in a typical grant proposal.1 It follows that a graduate student who is defending their proposal, 2–3 years into their program, should have one project completed, one well under way, and one in the early planning stages. Students doing complicated experimental work might have progressed less, but at a minimum they should have one project well under way when they defend their thesis proposal. This leads to a pretty good rule of thumb for the amount of work the proposal should encompass: Aim 1 should be the work that is in the bag, and Aims 2 and 3 together should not require more than twice the amount of work already accomplished.
I rarely see PhD proposals that meet this rule of thumb. Instead, the already completed work is frequently only a small component of the proposed Aim 1, which by itself is going to take another two years to complete. Proposed Aim 2 will need four years on top of that, and Aim 3 another ten. Many graduate students propose to carry out a lifetime of research during their graduate studies.
I don’t quite know why PhD proposals tend to be overly ambitious. Maybe it’s youthful optimism or naiveté. I suspect, though, that there is a component of worry, the eternal graduate student concern of not being sufficiently productive, of not doing enough. Ironically, this concern often causes students to overlook the successes that are within reach and instead try to reach for the stars. In general, doing a successful thesis is a fine balancing act between being overly ambitious and playing it too safe, a topic for another post. However, there’s a difference between an actual PhD thesis and a thesis proposal: The ideal thesis will contain some exciting, risky work, but for the proposal most professors want to see a plan that is doable, not one that might be doable if the stars align correctly. As a smart graduate student, you have two alternative plans, one safe and one daring, you work on both of them at the same time, and you only present the safe one during the committee meeting.2
A second, related issue I frequently notice is that students display poor judgment in how much work they can realistically accomplish in their remaining time. Estimates are consistently too optimistic. If you are in year three, and you have completed 50% of your first project, it is unlikely that you’ll complete this and two entirely different projects in the remaining 2–3 years of your PhD. Further, unless you’re a paper-writing machine, it’s unlikely that you can write a paper in less than three months.3 So, if you still have three manuscripts to complete, plus a thesis, the writing time alone is going to be about a year. If you’re already halfway into year three, you’ll have about another 18 months of actual research work you can do, because the other 12 you’ll spend writing. (Of course I’d recommend that you don’t wait all the way till the end before you start writing, but the math comes out the same.) My personal rule of thumb is things take about three times longer than what students estimate. So if a student says a particular project needs another three months in the lab plus a month to be written up, I expect that project to be done around the same time next year.
In conclusion, when you prepare your thesis proposal, realistically assess how much work you can complete during the remainder of your graduate years. Don’t assume that your productivity will double or triple over the next two years, because it won’t. Budget at least three months for every paper you have to write, and triple the time you think it takes to complete the remaining lab work. If you have papers in review, consider that responding to reviewer comments and revising a paper frequently takes another two to three months, during which nothing else gets done. If you end up with a plan that will require another five years of work or more, then you’ll have to change your aims. See whether your current Aim 1 can be broken down into reasonable sub-aims which can be considered the separate chapters of your thesis. It’s quite common for me to conclude a PhD proposal defense by telling the student it’d be best to scrap Aims 2 and 3 altogether and instead expand Aim 1 into the entire thesis. If you come to this realization before the committee meeting, I won’t have to tell you so during, and everybody is happier.
While proposals with either two or four aims can also be viable, two can appear as unimaginative (he really couldn’t think of anything else?) and four is getting dangerously close to being overly ambitious, so three it is.
And you abandon the daring plan the moment you realize it won’t be possible to bring it to completion.
Also, if you’re a paper-writing machine, why haven’t you written a bunch of papers already by the time you’re defending your proposal?
fun fact: this inspired me to go back to my own phd writing and see if i was overambitious (turns out i never really wrote anything that could be considered a thesis proposal lol), which led to rereading my thesis, which led to noticing an odd little detail in one of my figures and now i think i have a new project idea